AUD/USD Bullish Pin Bar Might Have Triggered a Retracement

Australia – CB Leading Index

Today, at GMT 3:30 p.m., the Conference Board Inc will release the month-over-month leading index for Australia, which measures the changes in the level of a composite index based seven other major fundamental indicators.

Since the CB leading index aggregates some of the other indicator data, binary options traders consider this to be an important representation of the overall Australian economy. However, since most of these data are previously released, the CB leading index tends to have a minimized immediate market impact.

Last month, the CB leading index decreased by -0.3% and if the trend continues, it would likely indicate a weakening Australian economy.

United States – New Home Sales

Tomorrow, at GMT 3:00 p.m., the United States Census Bureau will release the New Home Sales figure that measures the annualized number of new family homes sold during the last month.

Since the sale of a new home usually cause an increase in a wide ranging economic activity, such as sales of new furniture, new mortgage for the home, etc.; binary options investors always considered the New Home Sales figure to be a leading fundamental indicator of the US economy.

Last month, on a year-over-year basis, total 511,000 new homes were sold in the United States, and this month, the forecast is set even higher, at 521,000.

Trade Recommendation for the AUD/USD


After falling around 660 pips since April 21, last week, the AUD/USD formed a minor bullish pin bar on May 19. On May 20, the AUD/USD price penetrated above the high of the pin bar, which confirmed that there would likely be a bullish retracement move soon.

Today, the AUD/USD price has penetrated above the high of Friday and currently the price is trading above the important psychological resistance around the 0.7240 level.

As the US new home sales figure is expected to come out this week, with a forecast of an improvement compared to the previous month, the fundamental outlook for the AUD/USD would likely remain bearish. However, if the AUD/USD price closes above the 0.7240-0.7250 level, it would certainly attract additional bullish momentum in the market.

Under the circumstances, it would be recommended that binary options traders consider placing a CALL order for the AUD/USD with their binary options brokers once the price closes above the 0.7240 level.


Asif worked as a prop trader for almost a decade, and later he managed trading operations for one of the largest foreign exchange strategy developers in Europe. Currently, he works as a trading consultant to several brokers and write on various tech and financial topics. You can reach him at [email protected]
Asif Imtiaz

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